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UFC 105 Betting – Picks for the Main Events

November 12th, 2009 · No Comments · Other-sports articles, Sports articles

For Pacquiao Cotto betting odds, look elsewhere. This preview is for the fight fans and bettors who prefer free TV. UFC 105 airs on Spike this Saturday night and features what should be many entertaining fights. Let’s make picks for the  main events. While they’re not the Super Bowl odds of MMA, they should be exciting bouts.

Randy Couture (16-10) vs Brandon Vera (11-3)
Sportsbook odds: Couture -125, Vera -105

COUTURE WILL WIN IF: He closes the gap quickly and limits Vera’s ability to get full extension on his kicks and punches. Couture, a Greco-Roman wrestling dynamo, will likely try and pin Vera against the cage, squeeze the energy out of him, dirty box him and throw him to the ground.

VERA WILL WIN IF: He uses his reach to keep Couture at bay and forces him to strike. Vera, a Muay Thai specialist, is a much better striker than Couture. If he catches Randy, who has taken many big shots over the years, he could drop him.

PICK: Couture -125. Randy is a smarter fighter and will probably be in better shape despite being 14 years older than Vera. He’ll have a set, wrestling-oriented game plan and stick to it. If he can wrestle 250-pound Gabriel Gonzaga like he’s nothing, he can handle Vera at 205 pounds. Go with the veteran just like you should go with Tom Brady’s NFL odds against Indy.

Mike Swick (14-2) vs Dan Hardy (22-6)
Sportsbook odds: Swick -220, Hardy +180

SWICK WILL WIN IF: He uses all the tools in his belt. He’s a more versatile fighter than Hardy. Whereas Hardy is an excellent boxer, Swick has kicks to go with his boxing. Swick is also a better ground fighter so he’d be smart to take Hardy down. Hardy can survive on the canvas but never mounts much of an offense from that position.

HARDY WILL WIN IF: He baits Swick into a street fight. A brawl gives Hardy a chance to catch Swick with his heavy hands. As Chris Leben once showed, Swick can be dropped with a well-timed shot.

PICK: Swick -220. Online betting fans shouldn’t hesitate even though Swick doesn’t offer huge value. He’s in a different class than Hardy is, simply more prepared for a jump to No. 1 contender status. If he fights smart, he’ll win.

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